Hope Metric : Macro Signal Monday (05-19-2025)

Macro Signal Monday sets the tone for BTC capital flows at the start of the week. Follow along each Monday for the full Hope Metric signal breakdown and forward-looking capital flow context for BTC.

👉 TLDR:

BTC sentiment holds steady in neutral territory (HM Score: 54.2)
ETF inflows are down for the second straight week (–33.9% WoW)
Institutions are still buying BTC directly (>$860M in corporate buys)
Macro conditions are mixed: volatility rising, yields climbing, growth forecasts cut
Key question this week: Will institutional flows stabilize BTC, or will macro headwinds drag it lower?

Today’s

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Is the HM created by yourself?

Yeah the HM and all its signals, scoring engine etc. are all proprietary.

Considering the 7 signals that make up the HOPE metric, would it be correct to say it's more of a macro/institutional sentiment metric as opposed to tracking retail appetite like traditional fear and greed index?

Yes you're right. The Hope Metric (HM) is fundamentally a macro-institutional sentiment framework while the traditional Fear & Greed Index serves more as a retail sentiment gauge.

The Fear & Greed Index reflects short-term emotional shifts driven by price action / volatility / social sentiment. In contrast, the HM was designed to interpret structural sentiment regimes by analyzing policy direction, institutional capital flows, regulatory tone, and macro-financial stability.

The core objective is to understand how each signal influences capital allocation decisions related to Bitcoin.