Where will the Capital Flow in SUI Ecosystem?

Let’s talk about something you couldn’t have missed in the crypto world – SUI’s meteoric rise to a $50B fully diluted valuation. But something more interesting to answer is: where’s all that money flowing? As someone who’s been tracking L1 ecosystems for a while, I’ve noticed a pattern of how capital flows in L1 and L2 ecosystems.

Classic L1 Wealth Effect

You’ve probably seen this before – when an L1 chain takes off, the ecosystem usually follows a pretty predictable pattern. Think of it like this:

  • L1 tokens increase in value → Users holding these tokens see profits.

  • As those profits grow, there’s a strong tendency for users to reinvest portion of the gains in other ecosystem assets (e.g., utility tokens, memes, NFTs).

  • We’re talking about token launches with tens of millions in market cap in hour one, NFTs selling for small fortunes, and everyone going f

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so why isn't the sui waterfall happening? is it due to the missing piece?

if that's the case, are you saying that with the missing piece missing, it doesn't really matter whether sui is at 50b or 100b, as the waterfall still won't materially happen?

Not exactly - I think both of those are somewhat independent from each other.

The capital rotation from SUI to SUI alts is a matter of when in my opinion. Best guess is when the next downtrend in bitcoin dominance.

But I definitely think that once a killer application is built and that alt offers major gains to users who invest early - we will see people with large unrealized SUI gains venturing into other ecosystem alts to catch that next token