It is an internal indicator that we are still developing - will be released in a dashboard format when we are ready!

It looks at various onchain indicators, sentiment type indicators, and macroeconomic indicators. We then normalize and aggregate into one top line score "Signal Intensity" (0-100).

The more intense the indicator, the more 'top-like' conditions we are seeing in BTC. The inverse is also true...the less intense the indicator, the more 'bottom-like' conditions we are seeing.

The % change in indicator intensity is also quite useful as well when trying to get a bit more surgical in locating tops, bottoms, and periods when a shift in direction is more likely to occur.

"Few kids had the foresight (or preservation habits) to treat these as long-term assets."

Real. I still have a handful of the original cards (1997-1999), but nothing that's unopened.

It's cool to see this evolution now come on-chain!

Not at the moment, but we can certainly look into creating a dedicated dashboard for it. We appreciate your interest, and will let you know when it becomes available!

Loved this episode!

fair q. I'm not making predictions with this particular analysis, only looking back at which prior years the YTD performance tracks the best with 2024 so far. For BTC, limited to the first 90 days of the new year, 2016 and 2019 look very much alike, and so I'm agnostic there (though 2019 does more closely map to 2024 thus far).

BTC & ETH still tracking the 2019 analogs nicely.