Is the Bitcoin Bull Run Over?

JUN 02, 2021 • 4 Min Read

Ashwath Balakrishnan + 1 other

Disclosure: Members of our team may own positions in assets mentioned in this report. This statement is intended to disclose any conflict of interest and should not be misconstrued as a recommendation to purchase any token. This content is for informational purposes only and you should not make decisions based solely on it. This is not investment advice.

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Market Update

So far, today’s looking like another (mildly) green day for crypto. ETH and BTC are up 5% and 2% respectively, while CRV and DOGE lead the way up 30% each. In today’s edition, we’ll look at a few important data points that are often used to gauge sentiment of various market participants across crypto.

Key Takeaways

  • The MVRV ratio is a on-chain metric that measures Bitcoin’s market value (MV) against it’s realized value (RV). Realized value was conceptualized by David Puell and Murad Mahmudov, and it values the Bitcoin network based on the BTC/USD price when coins were last moved.
  • On-chain analysts believe the MVRV ratio is an accurate indicator of tops and bottoms, and the historical data offers confluence to that view. From the chart below, it’s obvious that the MVRV overextended in early 2011, late 2013, and early 2018 — all of which represent cycle tops. N

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Ashwath Balakrishnan + 1 other