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12th May 2025

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7th August 2024

Zircuit Claim - $ZRC

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Zircuit has finally released enabled claims for their governance token $ZRC.

Since the start of 2024, they have been running a points campaign for people who deposit assets in the protocol.

TVL is currently ~$2B (comprising mostly LRTs) and was as high as ~$3.5B.

The maximum supply is 10,000,000,000, of which 700,000,000 are allocated

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6th August 2024

Ceteris
Ceteris

Not a Bull Market, Not a Bear Market, but a Third Thing

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Have we even had a bull market? Sure, BTC has had a good year, SOL and memes have done well, but everything else has been absolutely destroyed. Modular sector is -50% YTD, ETH DeFi is down, Cosmos has been obliterated, the list goes on.

 

I had this tweet the other day. Since the market selloff was purely macro driven, wouldn’t the disper

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5th August 2024

Starknet DeFI Spring

While the Starknet ecosystem has performed poorly since the $STRK airdrop in February, several opportunities remain to capture asymmetric returns through their 2.0 DeFI Spring program.

These returns exist because while Starknet is still valued at ~$3.5B, the chain is hardly used and thus has very little TVL.

The first DeFI spring program

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Flash Update: Majors & L1s

Given the overnight move in the Majors, ETH is now negative on a year-to-date basis (-2.6% as of 3:00 AM EDT), while SOL is not far behind (+4.1%).

Majors YTD Performance - 20240805

More broadly, 10 out of 13 assets within our L1 basket now have negative returns on a YTD basis.

L1 Returns YTD - 20240805

It’s important to zoom out during these times, and remember that events like these can be com

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3rd August 2024

Initia VIP Program - Aligning Incentives

Initia recently unwound its VIP program, an attempt to align the incentives of the Initia L1 with the applications building on top.

They believe an emphasis on controlling the supply side of $INIT is flawed because true value accrual occurs on the demand side by creating utility.

The overarching emphasis of this system is that Minitias (L

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2nd August 2024

Blackbird Flypaper

Blackbird is a loyalty-based application for restaurants built on Base.

The simplest way to think about this is that it’s tokenized Chipolte rewards.

Blackbird is releasing a second token $F2 to complement FLY.

FLY

FLY is the native token within the Blackbird ecosystem. It is designed as a a loyalty token, with the primary utility being p

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1st August 2024

Kevin Kelly, CFA
Kevin Kelly, CFA

Riding Market Momentum

Momentum is the most powerful force in markets. And right now, stocks are taking it on the chin.

Plenty of people have been calling for a selloff in US equities for well over a year now, and see the latest pullback as the start of a bigger downtrend. Whether or not that proves true, we’ll see.

But even leading up to their peak a few weeks

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Do Prediction Markets Work?

TLDR: Prediction markets rely on efficiency, but efficiency is not guaranteed.

Prediction market structures can work. However, they rely on so many different components being in place that they do not consistently create accurate probability.

The systems rely on complete market efficiency, which is not realistic.

In my first post on predi

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Pondering Durian
Pondering Durian

Top DeAI Thematics

We are halfway through our DeAI series, so I thought now may be a good time to call out a few themes / categories which I was particularly bullish on which hadn’t been discussed much.

 

So far, my top three candidates are:

 

1) Datalakehouses / Warehouses

 

2) Graph Neural Net Foundational Models

 

3) Agent Orchestration / Interoperatibil

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Ekubo: Starknet's Golden Child

DAOs are dead, AMMs are dead, fair launches are dead. Ballooned valuations, bloated foundations, and deceptive points programs are the new meta. Consequently, fundamentals have been overshadowed by memecoins and mercenary capital. A new project’s suc...