Top Results38 results
April Showers… May Flowers? - Macro & Markets May 2025
President Trump’s Presidential Memorandum announcement of a reciprocal tariff policy to address trade deficits...shift comes at the cost of fiscal discipline, at a time when many major economies already run sizable deficits...
25 Min
Macro & Markets
Jun 2025
The Dark Night Rises - Part 1
Winding Path to The End Game It’s hard to have a recession when the USG is running multi-trillion dollar deficits...The US will continue running fiscal deficits — regardless of who ends up in the White House....provisions of the soon-to-expire Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 (which could add another $4-5 trillion to US deficits...
23 Min
Macro & Markets
Jul 2024
The Year Ahead for Markets 2025
The US continues to run multi-trillion dollar deficits, which only adds to its growing mountain of public...At the end of the day, continued fiscal deficits will increase US public debts, which requires more liquidity...Many Eurozone countries are likely to continue running mid-to-high single digit deficits as a % of GDP...
90 Min
Macro & Markets
Dec 2024
Market Musings - Game Time For Crypto Markets
As such, the debt and deficits will continue to rise.
16 Min
Macro & Markets
Oct 2024
Trump, Tariffs, & Time - Crypto Insider Talks (Jan. 2025)
Lower deficits or narrowing that deficit, less UST issuance, less need for liquidity....It’s bizarre to have a country with massive deficits have a sovereign wealth fund.
50 Min
Macro & Markets
Feb 2025
Are The Stars Finally Aligning? [Crypto Insider Talks - Sep. 2024]
...to take a step back and think regardless of that outcome, the big macro things we’ve talked about, deficits...
Macro & Markets
Oct 2024
Delphi's Market Matters - April 2025
Runs similar types of deficits, right?
73 Min
DeFi
Apr 2025
High off the Halving
More fiscal deficits —> more UST debt —> more USD liquidity —> higher asset prices This has...With the path for future fiscal deficits all but inevitable, we’re finally seeing the currency debasement...
7 Min
Macro & Markets
Apr 2024
No Pain, No Gain
The Only Way Out Is Through The path for sizable US fiscal deficits is clear at this point....More fiscal deficits —> more UST debt —> more USD liquidity —> higher asset prices This is the...When asked about the end game for US fiscal deficits — and the potential return of QE — Howell likened...
13 Min
Macro & Markets
Apr 2024
Delphi's Market Matters - January 2025
...department of government efficiency is actually going to make a meaningful dent in the size of fiscal deficits...
70 Min
DeFi
Jan 2025
Delphi's Markets Year Ahead 2025
You know, financial narratives around fiscal deficits and debts of the country....Uh, Given the size of fiscal deficits in the current size and growing size of the U.
70 Min
DeFi
Dec 2024
Why Things Will Get Crazier - Crypto Insider Talks October 2024
...it’s at the VP level or the presidential level, there is no discussion about fiscal responsibility, deficits...not only narrow that gap, but maybe even reverse the trend of debt to GDP growth, the actual fiscal deficits...And so in that window, this whole point about currency debasement around deficits, we’ve added in the...
68 Min
Macro & Markets
Nov 2024
The Year Ahead for Markets - 2024
The reality is large fiscal deficits will force the US Treasury to issue more and more debt — and again...
76 Min
Macro & Markets
Dec 2023
Through the Fire - Will the Rubber Meet the Road?
...now operating with debt-to-GDP ~120% – and it’s projected to continue running multi-trillion dollar deficits...
19 Min
Macro & Markets
Oct 2023
The End Game
In retrospect, the combined effect formed the genesis of America’s now crippling budget deficits....Both systems require the U.S. to run persistent trade deficits....He argued the system forced the U.S. to run aggressive trade deficits in order to provide enough dollars...
38 Min
Macro & Markets
May 2023
A Theory of Dispersion
As opposed to monetary levers, this upcycle has been fueled by fiscal deficits....Large deficits can be driven by tax cuts or expanded benefits or subsidies for “green transition” or...Large fiscal deficits cause investors to worry about the sustainability of the debt situation and tight...
5 Min
Macro & Markets
Jun 2024
Avoiding the Real Banking Iceberg
It would mean fiscal deficits would jump, which leads to even more debt issuance and higher net interest...dramatically — a trend that will continue for years to come as the US is expected to run large fiscal deficits...We typically see fiscal deficits spike during recessions as government revenues fall and spending rises...
38 Min
Global Macro Themes
Mar 2023
Markets Setup for Rollercoaster Ride in 2023
...as the US debt ceiling debacle comes to a head and concerns mount over the impact of larger fiscal deficits...
9 Min
Global Macro Themes
Feb 2023
Monthly Chartbook - Another Year, Another Rally
...as the US debt ceiling debacle comes to a head and concerns mount over the impact of larger fiscal deficits...
15 Min
Macro & Markets
Feb 2023
Paradox of the Dollar
...of those classic Soros-inspired, ultimately unsustainable, self-reinforcing cycles where larger U.S. deficits...At a high level: Larger deficits -> above trend growth -> sticky inflation -> rates remain elevated...-> dollar inflows -> less competitive exports -> larger deficits Fair or not, higher deficits...
5 Min
Macro & Markets
May 2024