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Ghosts of Cycles Past - The Early Innings of a New Cycle?
...recover to prior cycle highs and three years all in all for price to go from its cycle bottom to a new...cycle top....changes in the business cycle....cycle at play – the business cycle....Each of the last three business cycles has been an excellent predictor of crypto market cycles, and we...
35 Min
Macro & Markets
Aug 2023
Charting Crypto Cycles
Last cycle, this was NFTs....Last cycle, even the majors drew down over -70%....Unlike previous cycles, where individual enthusiasts and crypto natives dominated, the 2021 cycle saw...of crypto cycles past....Breaking The Mold We believe there is a good chance this cycle will continue deviating from prior cycles...
17 Min
Macro & Markets
Mar 2024
Zora: Can't Stop Coining
Intro This report has everything you need to know about Zora, the most polarizing project of the cycle...Virtuals case study Virtuals built the most powerful flywheel of the cycle to date....It remains a carveout in crypto with cyclical intrigue and flurries of speculation....Zora has all the makings of this cycle’s premier speculation vehicle.
40 Min
DeFi
Aug 2025
The Fat App Thesis: An Inflection Point in Value Accrual
There is a recursive theme that’s inherent in the value cycle of a successful protocol layer which hinges...Speculative REV is cyclical and must eventually be reinforced by usage-based activity to avoid collapse...L1s have been launching at exponentially higher FDVs than the ones from previous cycles....The next cycle won’t be led by chains racing to 100,000 TPS.
43 Min
Layer 1 / L1
Apr 2025
Off The Grid - Web3 Gaming's Biggest Launch
...stands as one of Web3 gaming’s best chances to reach and resonate with a mainstream Web2 audience this cycle...true AAA title - just launched on PC, PS5 and Xbox, marking the most exciting gaming release of this cycle...
18 Min
Gaming
Oct 2024
Market Musings - Game Time For Crypto Markets
But now it seems like the cycle is starting in a way that mirrors how previous ones ended....We saw this last cycle with ETH and ETH memes and we are seeing it this cycle with SOL and SOL memes...Additionally, there are very big differences between this current cycle and cycles past; the interest...
16 Min
Macro & Markets
Oct 2024
Gains Network Gains Ground
Arbitrum-native projects such as GMX have outperformed during the bear cycle and rekindled the spirit...
11 Min
Perpetual Futures
Feb 2023
Dog Days of Summer
Last cycle, retail came in late and aped dog coins and JPEGs....Anecdotally, the market never felt as frothy as last cycle....to cycle....But still, the drop-off in returns cycle-to-cycle is startling....In prior cycles, altcoins were traded against the BTC pair.
34 Min
Macro & Markets
Jul 2024
A Fragile Absorption: The 2025 TGA Refill and the New Liquidity Regime
But unlike last year, this cycle is starting with far less cushion....No such pause has occurred this cycle....In aggregate, the banking system’s flexibility remains lower than in past cycles....When it contracts, crypto stalls and that pattern has held through multiple cycles....That dynamic was very different from the October-December 2021 TGA cycle.
26 Min
Macro & Markets
Aug 2025
Closing the Loop: The Self-Driving Lab Landscape
Iterating through design-make-test-analyze (DMTA) cycles in pharma can eat three years alone, nearly...productivity depends on many factors, but a clear win for improving costs and timelines is shortening the DMTA cycle...experiment design, robotic execution, and automated analysis into a closed loop, SDLs compress the iteration cycle...
18 Min
Artificial Intelligence
Jul 2026
High off the Halving
BTC’s price usually runs up into the halving — like we’ve seen this cycle — and then takes a breather...Just like prior cycles, this next highly-anticipated halving falls almost exactly 18 months after BTC...’s prior cycle bottom....And so far, BTC’s performance is right on pace with past cycles.
7 Min
Macro & Markets
Apr 2024
Pro Crypto Insider Talks - July 2024
Bitcoin still tracking, you know, it’s it’s prior cycles in part because a lot of the prior cycles have...It’s normal in the business cycle....So there is, I think the most similar cycle to this one is the 1617 cycle....like the everything code cycle is right....There’s been a lot of new cycle people there.
Macro & Markets
Jul 2024
The Year Ahead for Markets 2025
cycles....liquidity cycles....In past cycles, everything traded together....But this cycle has felt less ambitious....Coincidentally, the current market cycle is the first cycle in which interest rates began at elevated...
90 Min
Macro & Markets
Dec 2024
Market Note: SOL Surges and Stalls
Introduction Many had written off Solana as yet another hyped L1 narrative play from this cycle....Many had written off Solana as yet another hyped L1 narrative play from this cycle.
10 Min
Macro & Markets
Jan 2023
The Inefficient Market Hypothesis
Cycles.Money Cycles posits that the prevailing mission of crypto to achieve a censorship-resistant store...Cycles is refocusing the discussion around money to the debt side....Cycles Architecture Cycles promises private, atomic, multilateral settlement....Cycles lowers the barrier to entry for starting a business.
43 Min
DeFi
Sep 2024
Arcium: Enabling The Next Phase Of Private On-Chain Activity
On a public ledger, they reveal salary structures, cash-flow cycles, vendor relationships, and operating...A salary paid on-chain publishes the amount, the employer, and the pay cycle, so companies try the rails...
25 Min
Infrastructure
Jul 2026
Delphi Office Hours Call (November 17th, 2022)
Market Update (01:55) Early Stage Projects We’re Watching (14:00) Which Sectors Will Catch on Next Cycle...watching, the FTX fallout for NFT and gaming projects, sectors that could be prominent in the next cycle...
1 Min
Macro & Markets
Nov 2022
Market Musings - Reawakening The Animal Spirits
China has always been important for global liquidity cycles, and by extension crypto cycles....China mattered in 2017 cycle, and again in the 2020 cycle....It will certainly play a role again in the current 2024/2025 cycle as well....If you agree with the general thesis that global liquidity cycles drive risk asset returns, the next...
16 Min
Macro & Markets
Oct 2024
Apps and Chains, Not Issuers: The Next Wave of Stablecoin Economics Belongs to DeFi
...today; a chart that’s been up only across nearly every time frame, regardless of broader crypto market cycles...$1 trillion by 2027, that expansion won’t accrue to incumbents at the same rate it did in the past cycle...But if the rate cutting cycle continues, that dynamic could shift back in Ethena’s favor as the basis...
19 Min
DeFi
Oct 2025
The Year Ahead for Markets - 2024
We saw — what appears to be — the end of the Fed’s tightening cycle....Like prior cycles, this highly anticipated event will come almost exactly 18 months after its prior cycle...Last cycle, Solana pumped too fast....peaks of the last three crypto market cycles.
76 Min
Macro & Markets
Dec 2023