Top Results350 results
When Sentiment Says Go but Price Says Wait
HM chart: R² oscillations since Apr 17 – Red Xs firing, sentiment failing to chase, but price keeps grinding...BTC is currently leading sentiment – not the other way around > Instead of R² staying elevated and...signaling alignment, we’re seeing sentiment lagging BTC > Each Red X is not causing BTC to collapse...
3 Min
Macro & Markets
Apr 2025
Hope, Quantified: When Sentiment Snaps Back, So Does BTC
...emotional dislocation – defined by sustained low R² values, followed by a sharp re-alignment between sentiment...and price start to re-align This became the foundation for the Hope Metric, a 0 to 100 sentiment score...and its companion tool, R², a 7-day rolling correlation between sentiment and price.  ...
7 Min
Macro & Markets
May 2025
Macro Signal Monday: BTC Sentiment, Flows, and Macro Align as Market Eyes Breakout (06/16/2025)
...steady) Fed ON RRP: Usage climbing again, liquidity cautious ahead of central bank meetings R² (Sentiment–Price...Today’s Hope Metric Score: 58.1 Sentiment Regime: Neutral (Upper bounds)R²: 0.83 (Strong Alignment) The...The 7-day R² has surged to 0.83, indicating that sentiment and price are back to moving in sync.
6 Min
Macro & Markets
Jun 2025
Market Musings - April Showers… May Flowers? - Macro & Markets May 2025
Institutional flows remain supportive, and sentiment is constructive but not extended....Sentiment Signals The Delphi BTC Top Signal and the Hope Metric both suggest sentiment is improving but...While sentiment remains firm, it is no longer rising alongside price....sentiment bands....Neutral (40–59): Balanced sentiment.
25 Min
Macro & Markets
Jun 2025
Hope Metric : Macro Signal Monday (06-02-2025)
This small uptick signals a slow rebuild in sentiment, even as BTC holds steady near $104K....Over the past several weeks, BTC price rallied while sentiment remained stagnant or even declined....If sentiment builds above 50 and R² crosses 0.5, we move closer to a legitimate breakout setup.
7 Min
Macro & Markets
Jun 2025
Falling Upwards
The longer we stay here, the sharper sentiment needs to catch up Every day sentiment lags → the “gap...This behavior suggests price is leading sentiment, not vice versa. ...In other words, sentiment hasn’t “bought in.”...Either BTC breaks lower… or sentiment finally surges to catch up....Price is currently leading sentiment.
5 Min
Macro & Markets
May 2025
Macro Signal Monday: BTC Holds the Range and Geopolitics Takes Center Stage (06/23/2025)
Instead, we’re seeing the opposite: ETF inflows remain strong (+$1.02B last week), sentiment (HM) is...In fact with liquidity stable and sentiment improving, war fears may quietly be serving as dry powder...BTC / ETH ETF Flow Context ETF flows remain a focal point for gauging institutional sentiment  and last...BTC and sentiment remain tethered in neutral territory.
9 Min
Macro & Markets
Jun 2025
Hope Metric : Macro Signal Monday (06-09-2025)
...up; equity markets mixed Fed ON RRP pullback underway, mirroring March – April rotation Price – Sentiment...divergence still active: R² at 0.10, sentiment not yet fully aligned with price Outlook: Consolidation...holds unless flows and sentiment reaccelerate together   The Round Up Markets opened the week on firmer...
6 Min
Macro & Markets
Jun 2025
Hope Metric : Macro Signal Monday (05-19-2025)
. 👉 TLDR: BTC sentiment holds steady in neutral territory (HM Score: 54.2) ETF inflows are down for...Today’s Hope Metric Score: 54.2 (down from 59.5 last week) Sentiment Regime: Neutral Hope Metric remains...in a holding pattern – no breakout in sentiment or R² yet   The Round Up Markets enter the week with...
4 Min
Macro & Markets
May 2025
Hope Metric : Macro Signal Monday (05-12-2025)
Today’s Hope Metric Score: 59.5 Sentiment Regime: Neutral (Top of Range) Sentiment is stabilizing with...environment, highlighted by strong equity rallies and volatility compression – signaling improved investor sentiment...Biggest news of them all: US – China tariffs de-escalation The Hope Metric aggregates sentiment across...
3 Min
Macro & Markets
May 2025
Still Falling Upwards
Sentiment has been lagging for weeks and is now catching up decisively....Since then, price has climbed to $103,200, and sentiment is now finally starting to chase....Emotional misalignment doesn’t snap back all at once as it takes time for sentiment to fully catch up...Just because sentiment is beginning to align doesn’t guarantee a clean continuation right away.
3 Min
Macro & Markets
May 2025
The Year Ahead for Markets 2025
The change in sentiment and risk appetite these last few weeks is palpable, so much so that we may begin...The second driver of poor sentiment was dispersion....Prices are down, and sentiment remains near record lows....Our second thesis is that NFT sentiment is overly bearish.
90 Min
Macro & Markets
Dec 2024
Reading the Market’s Mind Before Price Catches Up
Introducing the Hope Metric (HM) – a real-time sentiment framework I’ve been building to track the emotional...What started as a personal research project to better understand when sentiment and price diverge has...The score runs from 0 to 100, broken into five sentiment regimes: 80–100 → Extreme Optimism 60–79 →...
2 Min
Other
Apr 2025
The Year Ahead for Gaming 2025
As such, it represents a critical platform for shifting sentiment around Web3 gaming in core demographics...Similarly, Arete Capital, having raised $20M earlier this year, has demonstrated bullish sentiment through...A handful of high-performing titles could inject positive sentiment into the space, driving short-term...
61 Min
Gaming
Dec 2024
The Waters of March
“A stick, a stone It’s the end of the road” Despite sentiment being down across much of the cryptoverse...
2 Min
Macro & Markets
Mar 2025
Vertical Integration vs. Creator Alignment: Pump.fun and Raydium's Battle for Solana's Memecoin Economy
Success here could trigger a reflexive cycle, especially across Crypto Twitter where sentiment already...
16 Min
DeFi
May 2025
MON Protocol - Primed for IP Expansion
...easing up toward the end of April and a soft launch of Wardens Ascent on the horizon, we’re watching sentiment...
16 Min
Gaming
Apr 2025
Market Musings - Uncertainty Permeates The Market
When investors pile into such assets, it indirectly tells you about their sentiment with respect to current...
13 Min
Macro & Markets
Feb 2025
What's going on with $WLD?  How will the World event affect future price action?
$20,000), any potential conference momentum was effectively eliminated by the overall negative market sentiment...NEARCON 2023 (November): Benefited from improving market sentiment as Bitcoin began recovering, though...
4 Min
Layer 2 / L2
Apr 2025
Market Musings - Reawakening The Animal Spirits
It feels as though there has been a palpable shift in sentiment and risk appetite as expressed by market...But as we know, market sentiment can change very quickly. So, what do things look like today?...Everyone I spoke with echoed this sentiment and the alignment from top to bottom within the Solana ecosystem...
16 Min
Macro & Markets
Oct 2024