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Deficits Number Go Up
At least the upcoming tax season will save them…oh wait…...
1 Min
Global Macro Themes
Apr 2023
Harvest Finance
The attacker returned $2.4 million, leaving a deficit of ~ $21.6 million....Until the deficit generated by the exploit is paid off, FARM’s emission schedule will reflect this change...Hence, there’s a well-founded belief that as the deficit gets repaid, the price of GRAIN will gradually...
6 Min
Vaults
Feb 2021
The Dark Night Rises - Part 1
Winding Path to The End Game It’s hard to have a recession when the USG is running multi-trillion dollar deficits...The US will continue running fiscal deficits — regardless of who ends up in the White House....provisions of the soon-to-expire Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 (which could add another $4-5 trillion to US deficits...
23 Min
Macro & Markets
Jul 2024
The End Game
At the time, the U.S. monetary mandarins began to worry about the balance of payments deficit because...In retrospect, the combined effect formed the genesis of America’s now crippling budget deficits....Both systems require the U.S. to run persistent trade deficits....Sometimes the reserve currency nation may have to run a trade deficit to supply more of its currency...
38 Min
Macro & Markets
May 2023
Anchor Runs A Surplus After Adding bETH
While TVL has been growing over the last few months, the Anchor yield reserve has been running a deficit...Since then, the reserve continued to run a deficit until the recent introduction of bETH which reversed...
6 Min
Derivatives
Aug 2021
The Incoming Stimulus "Cliff"
Key Takeaways The U.S. federal budget deficit totaled $864 billion in June, the largest monthly reading...It’s official: June marked the largest monthly budget deficit in U.S. history ($864 billion) as spending...Last month’s record outlays pushed the deficit to $2.7 trillion for the first half of 2020 on the back...
8 Min
DeFi
Jul 2020
Avoiding the Real Banking Iceberg
It would mean fiscal deficits would jump, which leads to even more debt issuance and higher net interest...The CBO projects the US will run another $1.4T budget deficit in 2023, and an even bigger $1.6T shortfall...We typically see fiscal deficits spike during recessions as government revenues fall and spending rises...
38 Min
Global Macro Themes
Mar 2023
The Beginning of the Journey for the Aave Safety Module
A Shortfall Event occurs when there is a deficit....As I see it, there could be three main drivers of price action given a platform deficit (the numbering...the SM and potentially the minting (and selling) of new AAVE tokens if the SM can’t cover the whole deficit...
8 Min
DeFi
Dec 2020
April Showers… May Flowers? - Macro & Markets May 2025
President Trump’s Presidential Memorandum announcement of a reciprocal tariff policy to address trade deficits...on bolstering domestic industries and priorities over fiscal austerity will likely lead to increased deficit...shift comes at the cost of fiscal discipline, at a time when many major economies already run sizable deficits...
25 Min
Macro & Markets
Jun 2025
No Pain, No Gain
The Only Way Out Is Through The path for sizable US fiscal deficits is clear at this point....More fiscal deficits —> more UST debt —> more USD liquidity —> higher asset prices This is the...bonds—sparked by the then-incoming Prime Minister Liz Truss’s announcement of an aggressive and unfunded budget deficit—was...
13 Min
Macro & Markets
Apr 2024
The Resurrection of THORChain
When it’s the opposite, the deficit owed to synth holders is initially taken out of LPs’ accrued earnings...If the deficit is higher than LPs’ earnings, the reserve backstops their loss and plugs the deficit.
15 Min
Bridges
Apr 2022
Tokemak AMA With Carson Cook
...the experience for liquidity directors Bruno: We basically disaggregate IL into the actual quantity deficit...and the notional deficit after balancing via surpluses....Think AAVE but with more levers to balance the deficits....Carson: Re: the surplus/deficit management, we will be publishing a post in the near future. stay tuned...
16 Min
DeFi
May 2021
High off the Halving
More fiscal deficits —> more UST debt —> more USD liquidity —> higher asset prices This has...With the path for future fiscal deficits all but inevitable, we’re finally seeing the currency debasement...
7 Min
Macro & Markets
Apr 2024
Gas Price Lows, MakerDAO Revenue, the Rise of Fantom
While this has been used in the past to meet protocol deficits, it could also be used to fund incentives...
2 Min
DAO
May 2021
Market Musings - Game Time For Crypto Markets
...any real concern or desire to address the 35-Trillion pound elephant in the room – the US debt and deficit...As such, the debt and deficits will continue to rise....Don’t take our word for it, the congressional budget office projects that the annual budget deficit will...
16 Min
Macro & Markets
Oct 2024
Analyzing MKR's Underperformance
From a value accrual perspective, using MKR issuance as a backstop for protocol deficits needs to be...Black Thursday would be to use stability fees to bootstrap an insurance fund that protects protocol deficits...
8 Min
Cash-Backed (Custodian) Stablecoins
Dec 2020
Learnings From Last Week
When operating at a deficit, the protocol would distribute ANC to incentivize additional deposits of...This caused UST deposited in Anchor to keep growing, which only accelerated the reserve deficit.
11 Min
Inside Delphi
May 2022
Summer Doldrums Not So Dull - Macro & Markets June 2025
East, combined with the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, one thing is becoming increasingly likely — larger deficits...outperform must continue to ask themselves where they wish to be allocated in a world with ever increasing deficit...
14 Min
Macro & Markets
Jul 2025
Pulse Check on Liquidity Trends
The outlook for the US fiscal deficit is only getting worse, which means more Treasury debt issuance...
7 Min
Global Macro Themes
May 2023
Out From Chaos Comes THORSynths
This causes a deficit to the Reserve which then charges a tax (~10%) on earnings of Bonders & LPs...until the deficit is paid down....The tax can comfortably cover the deficit because it’s effectively sourced from the portion of high variable...
21 Min
Layer 1 / L1
Jul 2021