Top Results370 results
Bitcoin vs Equity Market Divergence - A Simple Beta Dislocation Analysis
...the ~2.0 Macro Beta Benchmark Bitcoin has consistently exhibited a macro beta near 2.0x versus major equity...is exaggerated relative to broader markets, we examine its historical beta relationship with major equity...Importantly, the recent BTC decline (Aug 13-18) appears elevated relative to equity market softness,...
3 Min
Macro & Markets
Aug 2025
The IPO Narrative – Is the Market Rotating into Crypto Equities?
Meanwhile, crypto-aligned equities – anchored in audited revenues and enforceable ownership rights are...UNI holders, meanwhile, would have no legal recourse and no equity linkage....Will protocols start dual-tracking equity and tokens?...Equities offer that....If we abandon tokens altogether, we might as well just be trading traditional equities.
9 Min
Macro & Markets
Jun 2025
The Public Crypto Accumulator Era - Part 1
These are public crypto accumulators: companies that use equity, debt, and reflexive investor demand...These firms are capital structure optimizers: using equity issuance, debt instruments, and reflexive...As crypto holdings rise, equity/debt demand grows, which enables further accumulation.
31 Min
Macro & Markets
Jun 2025
The Evolution of Digital Asset Secondary Markets - 2025
A pivotal change is the resurgence of crypto IPOs, steering dynamics toward equity structures with clear...Recently, a shift back toward pure equity has emerged post-Circle’s IPO....The most notable year-over-year delta is in the growth in equity/token mixed rounds, rising from 3-6%...Implications for Secondary Markets: Are Equity Deals Poised To Dominate?
14 Min
Financial Market Themes
Aug 2025
The Future of Onchain: The Age of Tokenization & The Token Identity Crisis
More specifically, the tokenization of private equity, securities, and commodity markets for every user...As of now, the ERC-20 dShares represent over 100 U.S. equities, ETFs, and commodity trusts, giving them...-listed equities for broker-dealers....The argument then is that Uniswap Equity would be worth more fundamentally than the $UNI token.
20 Min
Other
May 2025
Summer Doldrums Not So Dull - Macro & Markets June 2025
Markets wasted little time, retracing the initial move in oil, with both equities and crypto pushing...Crypto related equities like Coinbase, Robinhood and Galaxy (among others) have performed admirably in...Circle’s massively successful foray into public equity markets has also shown that investors are hungry...
14 Min
Macro & Markets
Jul 2025
USD.AI: Financing the Future of AI Infra
A 70% loan-to-value ratio gives a 30% equity cushion to lenders....An equity cushion shields the lender from default....A larger equity cushion increases the likelihood that a lender can recover their funds by selling the...Amortization pays off the loan over time, growing the equity cushion and reducing default risk.
14 Min
Infrastructure
May 2025
LUNA ATH Breakout, DEX Volumes Rise, Hawkish Fed Commentary
Powell’s Hawkish Comments Spark Volatility US equity markets opened higher today, recovering from yesterday...quicker, the slowdown in global liquidity growth contributes to a somewhat negative outlook for both the equity...Powell’s Hawkish Comments Spark Volatility US equity markets opened higher today, recovering from yesterday...
5 Min
Macro & Markets
Dec 2021
Market Musings - Through The Fire And Flames
...trillion in AUM — and nearly half its portfolio is allocated to foreign assets, with 25% in foreign equities...US equity markets, a direct beneficiary of this carry trade, have also taken a beating....For perspective, this recent meltdown saw equity market volatility jump to levels last seen during the...Heightened volatility wasn’t isolated to equity markets either.
14 Min
Macro & Markets
Aug 2024
A Deep Dive on Galaxy Digital's Flagship AI Mining Center Helios
...center REITs’ valuations at 25x EBITDA imply ~$43B of enterprise value at $1.7B of EBITDA, and ~$32B of equity...Not only does this result in Galaxy possessing the adequate capital to fund the equity portion of its...engages in involve coordination and negotiation across a variety of counterparties (i.e. credit and equity...
32 Min
Macro & Markets
Jun 2025
Markets Setup for Rollercoaster Ride in 2023
...assets a lift – the DXY peaked at the same time the SPX bottomed last year.Similarly, the recovery in equities...While some question the signal of the equity put-call ratio, large spikes also occurred around previous...for bulls who believe this market may have more room to run.Similarly, the short-term outlook for US equities...
9 Min
Global Macro Themes
Feb 2023
April Showers… May Flowers? - Macro & Markets May 2025
...expected, the subsequent scaling back of tariff policy and de-escalation has spurred a market rally — both equity...Unlike prior cycles, these holdings were not financed from excess cash but through dedicated equity and...The result is a new category of public equities functioning as crypto-linked proxies.
25 Min
Macro & Markets
Jun 2025
The Year Ahead for Markets
They drive fluctuations in global equities… And have a strong impact on the largest equity market in...They influence the direction of global equity markets....Assuming the two remain positively correlated, the next question is what’s next for equities?...The vast majority of this year’s decline in equity markets can be attributed to multiple compression...
55 Min
Global Macro Themes
Dec 2022
Crypto's Make or Break Moment
Equities appear to be on the verge of another major test, and so far, there has not been enough evidence...As we noted, the correlation between crypto and growth equities still remains high....Historically, equities tend to see sizeable drawdowns during recessions....For the sellers, there’s still one sizable cohort that hasn’t capitulated on equities yet, and that’s...
13 Min
Global Macro Themes
Oct 2022
Volatility, Order Flow, & the Inelastic Market Hypothesis
Through their analysis of equity markets, GK found equity markets to be surprisingly inelastic....The mixed fund operates with a 20/80 fixed income/equity split (20% fixed income, 80% equity)....Put simply, if investor inflows into the stock market were 1% of the total market value of equities,...
24 Min
Macro & Markets
Nov 2022
The Year Ahead for Markets - 2024
Today, major US equity benchmarks are within a whisker of breaking to new all-time highs....It tracks major equity benchmarks (e.g....To fully appreciate this impact, it is crucial to understand the role of ETFs in equity markets, the...In 2000, only 12% of equity assets were in passive funds, compared to about 50% by 2020.
76 Min
Macro & Markets
Dec 2023
No Pain, No Gain
We know the equity market exhibits an extremely strong correlation with Fed liquidity, so it’s no surprise...fiat currencies, but it has proven true relative to harder assets like BTC, gold, and even some growth equities...Strong equities in good markets tend to perform decently well, too.
13 Min
Macro & Markets
Apr 2024
Through the Fire - Will the Rubber Meet the Road?
Major equity benchmarks also exhibit a strong positive correlation with Fed liquidity....This is no surprise, as equities and crypto both benefit from currency debasement....We note this because some have pointed to the decoupling of crypto and equities as evidence that crypto...
19 Min
Macro & Markets
Oct 2023
Are The Stars Finally Aligning? [Crypto Insider Talks - Sep. 2024]
...was because Coin went public and it sucked out 10s of billions of dollars of crypto capital into an equity...So you need that bull market to be able to allocate that equity capital between MicroStrategies, Coinbase...They’re proving the value accrues to the equity and not the token....And this is this big unknown, is where the equities and tokens fit together.
Macro & Markets
Oct 2024