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The IPO Narrative – Is the Market Rotating into Crypto Equities?
Meanwhile, crypto-aligned equities – anchored in audited revenues and enforceable ownership rights are...UNI holders, meanwhile, would have no legal recourse and no equity linkage....Will protocols start dual-tracking equity and tokens?...Equities offer that....If we abandon tokens altogether, we might as well just be trading traditional equities.
9 Min
Macro & Markets
Jun 2025
Equity Bulls Eye Golden Cross
Since 2000, the equity index experienced a positive gain in every prior instance over the following 90...Since 2000, the equity index experienced a positive gain in every prior instance over the fo...
1 Min
Macro & Markets
Jan 2023
Bitcoin vs Equity Market Divergence - A Simple Beta Dislocation Analysis
...the ~2.0 Macro Beta Benchmark Bitcoin has consistently exhibited a macro beta near 2.0x versus major equity...is exaggerated relative to broader markets, we examine its historical beta relationship with major equity...Importantly, the recent BTC decline (Aug 13-18) appears elevated relative to equity market softness,...
3 Min
Macro & Markets
Aug 2025
Indicator With 100% Hit Rate Implies New Equity Bull Market
Stocks have been on a tear since bottoming back in October – so a pullback is arguably overdue – but the equity...
1 Min
Macro & Markets
Jul 2023
LUNA ATH Breakout, DEX Volumes Rise, Hawkish Fed Commentary
Powell’s Hawkish Comments Spark Volatility US equity markets opened higher today, recovering from yesterday...quicker, the slowdown in global liquidity growth contributes to a somewhat negative outlook for both the equity...Powell’s Hawkish Comments Spark Volatility US equity markets opened higher today, recovering from yesterday...
5 Min
Macro & Markets
Dec 2021
The Public Crypto Accumulator Era - Part 1
These are public crypto accumulators: companies that use equity, debt, and reflexive investor demand...These firms are capital structure optimizers: using equity issuance, debt instruments, and reflexive...As crypto holdings rise, equity/debt demand grows, which enables further accumulation.
31 Min
Macro & Markets
Jun 2025
The Resurrection of the "Everything Rally"
Key Takeaways Gold’s latest surge puts it among this year’s best performing assets, outpacing global equities...Once again, investors find themselves grappling with raging equity valuations on one hand and glaring...Momentum still favors equity bulls and the sheer weight of the FAAMG names means the latest uptrend could...
7 Min
DeFi
Aug 2020
Exchange Tokens: Features and Value Accrual
Token vs Equity  Exchange tokens have gradually evolved from the traditional role of providing utility...for users to incorporate more equity-like characteristics, such as the cash-flow based token burn model...However, unlike equity, token holders do not have rights to ownership nor legal rights to cash flows...
6 Min
Data
Apr 2021
CSOs & The Evolution of Capital
...a proportion of company sales makes this kind of offering an attractive alternative to traditional equity...In reality, many equity investments are made in anticipation of price appreciation rather than a steady...CSOs also remove some of the inherent complexities of valuing traditional equity investments because...
7 Min
Structured Products
Oct 2020
Summer Doldrums Not So Dull - Macro & Markets June 2025
Markets wasted little time, retracing the initial move in oil, with both equities and crypto pushing...Crypto related equities like Coinbase, Robinhood and Galaxy (among others) have performed admirably in...Circle’s massively successful foray into public equity markets has also shown that investors are hungry...
14 Min
Macro & Markets
Jul 2025
The Evolution of Digital Asset Secondary Markets - 2025
A pivotal change is the resurgence of crypto IPOs, steering dynamics toward equity structures with clear...Recently, a shift back toward pure equity has emerged post-Circle’s IPO....The most notable year-over-year delta is in the growth in equity/token mixed rounds, rising from 3-6%...Implications for Secondary Markets: Are Equity Deals Poised To Dominate?
14 Min
Financial Market Themes
Aug 2025
One Big Macro Trade: Precious Metals Take Off
Emerging market equities, for example, are one way to play a weaker dollar trade as they tend to have...It drives everything from global equity markets to sovereign bonds to the direction of the US dollar;...Source: Bloomberg, MSCI   A weaker greenback tends to bode well for US equities, especially multi-nationals...
5 Min
DeFi
Jul 2020
Crypto's Make or Break Moment
Equities appear to be on the verge of another major test, and so far, there has not been enough evidence...As we noted, the correlation between crypto and growth equities still remains high....Historically, equities tend to see sizeable drawdowns during recessions....For the sellers, there’s still one sizable cohort that hasn’t capitulated on equities yet, and that’s...
13 Min
Global Macro Themes
Oct 2022
Volatility, Order Flow, & the Inelastic Market Hypothesis
Through their analysis of equity markets, GK found equity markets to be surprisingly inelastic....The mixed fund operates with a 20/80 fixed income/equity split (20% fixed income, 80% equity)....Put simply, if investor inflows into the stock market were 1% of the total market value of equities,...
24 Min
Macro & Markets
Nov 2022
Revenge Of The Greenback
The following week has not been any kinder to the equity markets, either....We can see three previous ‘boom and bust’ cycles for equity markets below; 2000, 2008, and 2022....next several days will be crucial for Bitcoin as it continues its attempt to fend off sellers while equity...
8 Min
Macro & Markets
May 2022
Why Bitcoin Is Behaving Like it Should
This is not native to the crypto market either; traditional markets like equities often see correlations...The sell-off in the crypto market was far more drastic than equities, but that’s to be expected given...While they aren’t the biggest bet on fiat currency debasement, equities have an element of scarcity themselves...
8 Min
Proof-of-Work
Jan 2022
$SHFL Update: How One of Crypto’s Strongest Cashflow Stories Could Break Into the Top 100
Should Shuffle collapse its equity and push cash flows fully into the token, it could position itself...for their equity stakes....Equity holders would likely end up with treasury token allocations worth more than their original equity...In practical terms, collapsing equity and shifting to a PUMP/HYPE-style model would be transformative...
12 Min
Betting
Sep 2025
Speculation Spillover
One theme that’s crept back into the limelight is the latest bout of excessive speculation in the equity...raising red flags to be conscious of, especially as we head into a potentially volatile period for equities...Cboe Equity Put/Call Ratio at a 20-year low (30-day average). S&P 500 vs....Majority of investors especially bullish on emerging market equities.
6 Min
Indices
Feb 2021
Bitcoin Rundown: Market Indecision, Legacy Correlations, And a Lightning Boost
Correlations Bitcoin is often touted as an uncorrelated asset relative to conventional asset classes like equities...broad-based fiat currency debasement will serve as a long-term tailwind for all three (BTC, gold, and equities...Interestingly, BTC has traded more in line with the relative performance of small-cap equities than large-cap...
4 Min
Channels
Jul 2021